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Nate Silver
@fivethirtyeight
FiveThirtyEight blogger (http://nyti.ms/Qp8cqb). Author, The Signal a1
Obama Running Well in South-Central Ohio http://t.co/efBRw1eO
Possible that rising consumer confidence is offsetting impact of scandal talk, keeping Obama's approval ratings level.
Genre exhaustion: This month's in-flight magazines include features on Saskatoon, Sask. and Hartford, CT.
New Audit Allegations Show Flawed Statistical Thinking http://t.co/mwT5WmiE33
Rob Ford 2010 commercial: "It's time for the party at City Hall... to end" --> https://t.co/7mIn80Z8uZ
One thing Obama has going for him is that most Beltway "thought leaders" have no idea what resonates with normal people outside of DC
Is There Really a Second-Term Curse? http://t.co/Ep6glGTqNJ
Per 538s @micahcohen, IRS abruptly reversed course & began appoving Tea Party groups en masse in May of last year. http://t.co/QHPjG0OETD
I.R.S. Approved Dozens of Tea Party Groups Following Congressional Scrutiny http://t.co/HIKHnLJQMk
Wonder how Watergate would have played out today. Signal-to-noise ratio is so poor in media now -- its importance might have been missed.
Money on the Bench http://t.co/B5GTClqVmu
I.R.S. Targeting of Conservative Groups Could Resonate in 2014 http://t.co/eu6bgrMBq2
Pretty sure I once saw an episode of The Price is Right where you had to sort the scandals in order of their importance
RT @FastCompany: We've named Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) as this year's #1 Most Creative Person in business: http://t.co/Y5T4Bj8O98 #FCM…
IRS story seems like a potential goldmine for GOP base turnout at midterms.
If you're still taking campaign internal polls at face value, you really didn't learn anything from 2012.
In the short run, foreign policy crises tend to help the incumbent.
Re Benghazi: wouldn't the Machiavellian play have been for O to trump up AQ links, start bombing things, get rally-round-the-flag effect?
It's easy to have a low discount rate when you have tenure.
The Electoral Effect of Sex Scandals, Revisited http://t.co/sct8TAY0Gz
SC-1 results a reminder that polling in House elections can be pretty terrible. PPP had Sanford up just 1, he's winning by almost 10.
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